Copper at the Crossroads: Is Copper Giant Positioning for a Generational Opportunity?
February 19, 2026
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Disclaimer: This is a paid collaboration. This is not a recomendation to buy/sell any shares/services or products! 

 

In 2026, the copper market stands at a pivotal moment. Prices remain strong, global inventories are tight, and governments are openly discussing strategic stockpiles. Meanwhile, electrification, renewable energy, artificial intelligence, and data centers are accelerating demand for a metal that underpins modern civilization.

Against this backdrop, Copper Giant Resources, led by President and CEO Ian Harris, is advancing one of the largest undeveloped copper-molybdenum systems in Colombia: the Mocoa Project.

This article explores the macro forces reshaping copper, the structural supply deficit forming beneath the surface, and how Copper Giant is positioning itself within an increasingly strategic metals landscape.

The Global Copper Market: A Structural Problem in the Making

A Supply Story Decades in the Making

Ian Harris approaches the copper market from the perspective of a mining engineer. His career has centered on transforming deposits into producing mines—giving him a supply-side lens on today’s market dynamics.

The fundamental issue is not merely short-term volatility. It is structural:

  • The average time from discovery to production is approximately 20 years.
  • Over the past decade, only a handful of major new copper mines have been built.
  • Most production growth has come from brownfield expansions, not greenfield discoveries.
  • Many of the world’s top copper mines are over 100 years old.

The industry relied heavily on expansions and technological advances—such as dump leaching—to extract more metal from existing operations. But that approach has limits.

As Harris puts it metaphorically, the industry has been “squeezing the last drops from the turnip.” Now, there’s little left to squeeze.

 

 

Demand Is Accelerating—And It’s Different This Time

Historically, global copper demand grew at roughly 2% annually. Today, that number is rising toward 3% or more, with some forecasts climbing higher as AI infrastructure projections expand.

What’s driving this?

  • Electrification of transport
  • Renewable energy infrastructure
  • Wind turbines and grid upgrades
  • Artificial intelligence and data centers
  • Energy storage systems

Anything that carries electrons relies on copper.

But there’s another major shift: the fragmentation of globalization.

During the globalization era, supply chains were optimized for efficiency. Every segment minimized excess capacity. Commodities were treated as interchangeable inputs.

Now, strategic concerns are reshaping policy:

  • The United States and China are discussing or expanding strategic stockpiles.
  • Other nations are reconsidering critical mineral security.
  • Supply chain redundancy is replacing pure efficiency.

Copper is no longer just a commodity. It is becoming strategic infrastructure.

The Magnitude of the Coming Gap

Based on conservative modeling, the world may require at least 1 million tonnes per year of new copper supply in the coming years.

Yet over the last decade, only about 250,000 tonnes annually were added from newly built large projects.

Bridging that gap would require roughly:

  • 20+ large new copper mines
  • Significant new discoveries
  • Accelerated permitting

But there simply aren’t enough advanced-stage, large-scale projects ready to fill the void.

This is where Copper Giant believes it fits in.

The Mocoa Project: A Billion-Tonne Foundation

Copper Giant’s flagship Mocoa Project recently surpassed 1 billion tonnes in resource scale, with 1.12 billion tonnes of inferred resources at 0.51% CuEq.

In the world of copper development, this is a critical threshold.

Why One Billion Tonnes Matters

Major mining companies do not merely look for deposits—they look for districts capable of generational production.

A billion-tonne near-surface resource:

  • Supports long-life mine planning
  • Attracts major mining company attention
  • Provides scalability
  • Enables multiple development scenarios

Harris emphasizes that many large copper projects entering feasibility stages are often around this size—but few exceed it significantly in the development category.

Even more compelling, parts of Mocoa contain higher-grade core zones that could support robust economics.

Copper + Molybdenum: A Strategic Combination

The Mocoa system is not just a copper deposit. It is a copper-molybdenum porphyry system, and molybdenum may prove strategically critical.

Why Molybdenum Matters

  • Essential for high-strength, high-temperature steel
  • Used in aircraft turbines
  • Critical for wind turbine components
  • Classified as a critical mineral by the United States

Approximately 80% of global molybdenum supply comes as a byproduct of copper mining. But as copper grades decline globally, molybdenum recovery becomes more difficult.

At Mocoa:

  • Molybdenite occurs in relatively coarse, “blebby” form.
  • Metallurgical tests have returned recovery rates near 97%.
  • The deposit ranks among the largest undeveloped molybdenum resources globally.

In an environment where strategic metals are gaining attention, this copper-moly combination enhances both economics and geopolitical relevance.

2026: A Year of De-Risking and Expansion

Copper Giant has laid out an ambitious 2026 program focused on three pillars:

  1. Resource Conversion

Upgrading a significant portion of inferred resources to indicated category—potentially 30–50%—to support a Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA).

  1. Expansion Drilling

Testing areas within the conceptual pit shell that remain undrilled and exploring extensions such as the La Estrella target.

  1. District-Scale Potential

The company controls approximately 135,000 hectares, much of which remains underexplored.

Mocoa formed over roughly 10 million years, with multiple mineralizing pulses. This geological complexity raises the possibility of additional porphyry centers nearby—suggesting district-scale potential.

The Jurassic Copper Belt Advantage

Mocoa sits within the Jurassic porphyry belt of the Andes—a geologic corridor that extends through Peru, Ecuador, and Colombia.

This belt hosts numerous significant copper and gold systems, yet Colombia remains underexplored relative to its southern neighbors.

As geological models mature and investment returns, underexplored jurisdictions often offer disproportionate discovery upside.

Colombia: Risk, Perception, and Catalyst

Colombia’s recent political climate has created uncertainty in mining markets. However:

  • The current president is constitutionally limited to one term.
  • National elections are scheduled for mid-2026.
  • A new administration could reset investor perception.

For Copper Giant, these elections represent a potential catalyst. Market sentiment toward jurisdiction can materially affect valuation multiples.

Financing, Sponsorship, and Institutional Pathway

Copper Giant recently completed a $12 million financing, strengthening its treasury ahead of major milestones.

A key shareholder is Frank Giustra, principal of Fiore Group.

Giustra’s involvement provides:

  • Capital markets expertise
  • Strategic advisory input
  • Market visibility
  • Long-term sponsorship

Harris emphasizes that building a successful mining company requires four aligned elements:

  1. A strong asset
  2. An experienced team
  3. Capital sponsorship
  4. Favorable market timing

In his view, those four elements are now converging.

 

Valuation: The “Pounds in the Ground” Phase

At present, the company trades at a valuation that management considers modest relative to resource scale.

Early-stage copper developers are often valued based on:

  • Enterprise value per pound of copper equivalent in the ground
  • Net Asset Value (NAV) multiples after PEA

Completion of a PEA—targeted for late 2026—could shift valuation metrics from simple resource multiples to discounted cash flow modeling, potentially narrowing the gap between market value and underlying asset value.

M&A Environment: Building a “Must-Own” Asset

The global copper M&A environment is active.

Major mining companies face:

  • Declining reserve lives
  • Few large-scale discoveries
  • Increasing geopolitical scrutiny

Harris frames the strategy clearly:

A project must be large enough that majors cannot ignore it.

Small projects may be built independently. Giant projects attract competition among majors. But mid-sized assets can be squeezed in between.

By surpassing one billion tonnes and continuing to grow, Copper Giant aims to enter the category of “must-own” projects—where strategic competition may drive value.

Near-Term Catalysts (Next 2–6 Months)

Investors can expect:

  • Finalized 2026 drilling program details
  • Ongoing assay results
  • Expansion drilling at satellite targets
  • Progress toward PEA preparation
  • Political developments in Colombia

Consistent news flow is critical in exploration markets, and management anticipates regular updates as drilling advances.

The Bigger Picture: A Generational Setup?

Copper’s role in the energy transition is widely acknowledged. What is increasingly discussed, however, is the pace at which supply can realistically respond.

When:

  • New mines take 20 years to build,
  • Brownfield expansions are largely exhausted,
  • Strategic stockpiling emerges,
  • Electrification demand accelerates,

then timing becomes critical.

Copper Giant Resources is positioning itself not merely as another exploration story—but as a potential district-scale, long-life copper-molybdenum asset in a tightening global market.

Whether the coming years validate the thesis depends on execution, political stability, capital markets, and continued resource growth.

But one thing is increasingly clear:

Copper is no longer just cyclical.

It is structural.

 

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